2026年 第44週
分野別
各分野で何が議論され、どこへ向かうと言われ、先を行く人たちが何をしているか。名前のある人々の発言と公表された調査から。
キャリア
キャリア · 仕事と雇用市場
キャリア
Forecasts point to leaner workforces and major changes in job skills, while some expect AI to create jobs and reshape work rather than eliminate it.
Will AI mainly reduce workforces or create and reshape jobs?
101人の発言を引用
業界
業界 · テック・ソフトウェア
テック
The forecasts point toward AI becoming embedded in enterprise software and agent workflows, while competition and cost remain constraints.
Should AI agents and inference spread broadly, or wait on reliability and cost?
65人の発言を引用
業界 · 人工知能
AI
Forecasts point toward agents taking on longer, more autonomous workflows, while several speakers expect humans to guide or supervise their work.
Should agents take on multi-step work, or should people retain control over consequential tasks?
158人の発言を引用
業界 · 広告・マーケティング
マーケティング
Marketing is moving toward AI becoming routine infrastructure, while differentiation is framed around human judgment, original ideas and customer understanding.
Should AI automate marketing, or should human judgment remain central?
67人の発言を引用
業界 · 雇用・人事・人材
人事・労務
Several forecasts describe work shifting toward people directing AI agents, while HR platforms become systems for managing organizational capacity and work.
Will AI make organizations leaner, or strengthen capacity and performance?
61人の発言を引用
業界
食品・飲料
Food is framed both as nourishment tied to wellness and as a source of distinct indulgence, while fortification alone is presented as insufficient to make food healthy.
Should food be judged by its contribution to wellness, or can indulgence stand apart?
6人の発言を引用
業界
小売・EC
Agent-led shopping is moving toward real purchasing, but forecasts also point to retailer backlash and trust as barriers to wider use.
Should retailers enable AI agents to transact, or limit their role in shopping?
22人の発言を引用
業界
製造業
Robotics forecasts point toward broader deployment, while other voices stress that hardware, data and dexterity remain constraints.
What will make domestic manufacturing competitive?
19人の発言を引用
業界
メディア・エンタメ
Entertainment is being pulled toward fandom-led distribution and new forms of creation, while broad-audience reach and established formats remain part of the strategy.
Should entertainment businesses pursue broad reach or serve concentrated fandoms?
50人の発言を引用
業界
ゲーム
Several forecasts point toward games made by smaller teams finding audiences through faster iteration, broader access and production scaled to demand.
Will growth and innovation come mainly from large companies or smaller studios?
20人の発言を引用
業界
スポーツ・フィットネス
Major sports events are framed both as a growth area and as leverage for better pricing for cable networks.
Are major sports events a growth opportunity or leverage for network pricing?
3人の発言を引用
業界
通信・インターネット
The internet may shift from people as its main participants toward agents that can transact, reversing efforts to keep bots from buying online.
Should internet services enable agents to transact, or keep bots from buying online?
5人の発言を引用
業界
金融・銀行
AI finance is heading toward automated analysis and proactive agents, while deterministic controls and human review retain authority over money movement and system changes.
How much financial work should AI handle, and where should human control remain?
40人の発言を引用
業界
暗号資産
この業界で何が議論され、どこへ向かうと言われ、先を行く人たちが何をしているか。
How should crypto systems prepare for attacks and protocol failures?
22人の発言を引用
業界
保険
Some proposals aim to bridge risks current insurance does not cover, while treating the new insurer as a bootstrap rather than the ultimate risk-bearer.
Who should take on risks that existing insurance leaves uncovered?
8人の発言を引用
業界
不動産・建設
Housing activity may regain momentum if energy pressures ease and interest rates fall, while elevated rates and weak construction remain constraints.
Will housing activity recover, or will high mortgage rates keep the market subdued?
14人の発言を引用
業界
エネルギー・公益
Data-centre power demand is pushing batteries and other capacity options forward, while grid access, gas deliverability and who pays remain contested.
What should data centres contribute to power capacity and local costs?
20人の発言を引用
業界
自動車・モビリティ
Forecasts point to expanding autonomous services and vehicle volumes, while commercial scale remains uncertain and depends on deployment pace and operating conditions.
How quickly can autonomous vehicles move into commercial operation?
16人の発言を引用
業界
運輸・物流
Forecasts point to autonomous transport moving toward commercial service, but meaningful scale remains a longer-term question shaped by operating costs and infrastructure.
How soon will autonomous transport reach commercial operation at meaningful scale?
6人の発言を引用
業界
医療・製薬
Healthcare AI is framed as a route from information to care, while access infrastructure and capacity determine whether people can act on it.
How should healthcare AI connect information to care?
34人の発言を引用
業界
教育
Higher education is being framed less as the delivery of knowledge alone and more as verifying learning, building judgment, and adapting assessment to AI.
Should education prioritize knowledge or the ability to judge and verify it?
21人の発言を引用
業界
科学・研究
AI-assisted research is being framed as a faster loop of models, simulations and experiments, with physical evidence and model checks still needed.
Can AI and computation advance research without experimental checks?
24人の発言を引用
業界
行政・公共部門
The claims point toward policy being shaped through implementation choices, from state-level rules and permitting to agency enforcement and local political coalitions.
How should government balance rapid deployment with limits and oversight?
38人の発言を引用
業界
安全保障・防衛
Several forecasts point to AI speeding up both attacks and defence, while some schemes face pressure from AI and, later, quantum computing.
How should defenders respond as AI accelerates vulnerability discovery and exploitation?
20人の発言を引用
業界
法務・専門サービス
この業界で何が議論され、どこへ向かうと言われ、先を行く人たちが何をしているか。
How much legal work can AI replace, and what work must remain with lawyers?
13人の発言を引用
分野
分野 · テック
ソフトウェア開発
Software work is moving toward agents that can implement and operate systems, while engineers shift toward product choices, trade-offs and oversight.
How much software work should be delegated to AI agents?
70人の発言を引用
分野 · テック・デザイン
UI
Several forecasts point from fixed screens toward generated or headless interfaces that deliver tasks through context-aware systems, while some argue AI behavior should remain bounded.
Should interfaces adapt to each task, or stay stable and predictable?
32人の発言を引用
影響力のある人々
これらの分野を形づくる150人の発言と、その時期。
Josh BersinKieran FlanaganJoe PatriceAndy JassyJakob NielsenDwarkesh PatelTibo SottiauxAmanda NatividadJoost van DreunenSimon WillisonEthan MollickLuke WroblewskiRiddSam AltmanAndrej KarpathyDario AmodeiRand FishkinRodney BrooksAsha SharmaDylan FieldEmily KramerJeff HumbleJim FarleyMark Ritson