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業界 · テック・ソフトウェア · 2026年 第44週

テック

巨大プラットフォーム、デバイス、ソフトウェア。業界の論点と目指す方向。

巨大テックとプラットフォーム
1.2%
新しいガジェット
0.5%
プライバシーとネットの安全
0.3%
引用した人数
65

AI生成 問い、立場、つながりは、このページの引用と数字からAIモデルが名づけたものです。引用はすべて出典と一字一句照合し、数字は表示した調査からのみ取っています。 このページの作り方

テック

メディア

テック

意見

この分野で議論されている問いと、それぞれの立場を当事者の言葉で。

Should AI agents and inference spread broadly, or wait on reliability and cost?

Expand agent use

Agent workflows could become widespread, and enterprise applications are forecast to use inference pervasively.

It's very possible that we take the 100 IQ agentic workflow that still kind of becomes almost ubiquitous within the next 12 to 18 months, and we find really cool ways to use it.

Alexander 'Alty' AltmannOdd Lots, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

But if you just zoom out five to seven years, I think that quite a few, if not Most of the enterprise applications that we use and that exist today are going to be using inference in a pervasive way.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Wait on limits

Broader use depends on task-specific reliability and lower inference costs; current costs remain too high for pervasive use.

The cost of inference has come down quite a bit in the last few years, but it's still an order of magnitude too expensive in my opinion for it to be used as pervasively as possible.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Different tasks have different sort of reliability thresholds, but you smoothly improve and then at some point it's just reliable enough to be good.

Emmanuel AmeisenLenny's Podcast: Product | Career | Growth, 2026年10月18日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Will AI transform existing products, or require new customer experiences?

Build new experiences

Incremental improvements may not be enough; companies need to create winning experiences rather than simply add AI to existing ones.

But I also think that for existing companies who have successful customer experiences at scale, that if they think about AI as primarily just incrementally improving the experience experience, they will very likely not have the winning experiences three to five years from now.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

I do think the consumer layer AI is going to be. People ask me all the time like what will get you really constructive on AI again? I said when we figure out that killer consumer application layer.

Alexander 'Alty' AltmannOdd Lots, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Improve what exists

AI can begin by assisting or automating current work, and integrations can make existing professional platforms agent-native.

And we're going to keep on building more and more of those types of integrations to make this truly the first kind of agent native professional networking platform.

Dhruv GuptaThe a16z Show, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

What starts as the use of AI to automate or assist the work you're doing today very quickly turns into a decision about whether this work even needs to be done, or an agent could do it better than a human.

Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Will AI mainly expand opportunity, or intensify work and career pressure?

More capability

Some tech workers report that AI amplifies or redefines their professional work.

調査結果

Tech workers who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyHow has working with AI shifted how you see yourself as a professional?
  1. Amplified (I can do more, and better)49%
  2. Redefined27.4%
  3. Destabilized13.9%
  4. Diminished5%
  5. Unchanged3.2%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典

What starts as the use of AI to automate or assist the work you're doing today very quickly turns into a decision about whether this work even needs to be done, or an agent could do it better than a human.

Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

More pressure

Survey respondents report concerns about heavier workloads, unsustainable pace, and declining work quality.

調査結果

Tech workers who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyWhat worries you about AI's impact on your career?
  1. Being expected to do more for the same pay51%
  2. Getting trapped in an unsustainable pace46%
  3. The quality of my work going down41%
  4. Losing my job to AI22%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典

What starts as the use of AI to automate or assist the work you're doing today very quickly turns into a decision about whether this work even needs to be done, or an agent could do it better than a human.

Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

テック

感情

公表された調査が、分野の内外の人々に尋ねて数えた結果。

Tech workers who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyHow has working with AI shifted how you see yourself as a professional?
  1. Amplified (I can do more, and better)49%
  2. Redefined27.4%
  3. Destabilized13.9%
  4. Diminished5%
  5. Unchanged3.2%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典
Working tech professionals who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyHow burned out are you?
  1. Moderately, very or completely burned out55.7%
  2. Very or completely burned out26.2%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典
Tech workers who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyWhat worries you about AI's impact on your career?
  1. Being expected to do more for the same pay51%
  2. Getting trapped in an unsustainable pace46%
  3. The quality of my work going down41%
  4. Losing my job to AI22%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典
Working tech professionals who answered Lenny's Newsletter's annual surveyHow likely are you to recommend a career in your role to a friend starting out today?
  1. Would steer a newcomer away53%
Lenny's Newsletter (Lenny Rachitsky and Noam Segal), 2026 · 出典
US employees in technology, finance and professional services (Gallup Panel)Use AI daily in their role
  1. Technology42%
  2. Finance27%
  3. Professional services22%

パルス

パルス:読者の声

回答した読者の声で、代表的なサンプルではありません。

テック · Mastodon · Bluesky

みんなが共有していること

今週よく共有されたリンクと、この分野についての投稿の量(MastodonとBlueskyで集計)。

今週よく共有されたもの

  1. 1
  2. 2
    Sam Altman: All the RAM Should Belong to Me, So I Can Charge People to Use It

    Gizmodo · 332アカウントが共有 · 1日間トレンド入り

  3. 3
    The AI bubble could expose your deepest secrets

    BBC · 263アカウントが共有 · 2日間トレンド入り

  4. 4
    Merz: Google Cloud is sovereign enough for intelligence agencies

    heise online · 203アカウントが共有 · 2日間トレンド入り

  5. 5
    Google search has gone from being very handy to useless

    The Guardian · 177アカウントが共有 · 2日間トレンド入り

Proでさらに11件

リンク:Mastodonサーバーでよく共有されたもの(AIモデルが分野ごとに分類)。投稿:Blueskyの無作為標本(AIモデルが分類)。

テック

方向性

The forecasts point toward AI becoming embedded in enterprise software and agent workflows, while competition and cost remain constraints.

It's very possible that we take the 100 IQ agentic workflow that still kind of becomes almost ubiquitous within the next 12 to 18 months, and we find really cool ways to use it.

Alexander 'Alty' AltmannOdd Lots, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

For anthropic to continue this growth into the future, they're going to need to continue to stay at the frontier, which that whatever they have in their pipeline needs to be better than whatever is in the pipeline at OpenAI, at SpaceX, at Google.

Casey NewtonMachine Gods, 2026年10月28日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

テック

目標とビジョン

予測とビジョン。いつ語られ、いつ検証できるか。

  1. I do think the consumer layer AI is going to be. People ask me all the time like what will get you really constructive on AI again? I said when we figure out that killer consumer application layer.

    Alexander 'Alty' AltmannOdd Lots, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  2. 未確定five to seven years

    But if you just zoom out five to seven years, I think that quite a few, if not Most of the enterprise applications that we use and that exist today are going to be using inference in a pervasive way.

    Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. 未確定very quickly

    What starts as the use of AI to automate or assist the work you're doing today very quickly turns into a decision about whether this work even needs to be done, or an agent could do it better than a human.

    Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proの予測トラッカーにさらに45件

テック

誤解

よく言われることと、情報源が示すこと。

よく言われること

AI growth means established products can win by adding AI incrementally.

情報源が示すこと

Andy Jassy argues that incremental improvements may not produce winning experiences, while other forecasts describe a new consumer application layer.

But I also think that for existing companies who have successful customer experiences at scale, that if they think about AI as primarily just incrementally improving the experience experience, they will very likely not have the winning experiences three to five years from now.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

テック

先を行く人たち

先を行く実務家が今していると語ること。

  1. Test field work in a lab under real-world conditions before deploying it.

    We have a massive lab in Durham, North Carolina. None of the things that we're doing in the field have we not done in a lab under real settings.

    Kelcy PeglerCatalyst with Shayle Kann, 2026年10月27日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  2. Sell an early service-shaped offer to test whether customers will pay.

    You can sell something that's more service shaped early on. I've seen a bunch of startups do that where they sell, you know, okay, we're going to have an AI product manager who can do X, Y, Z kind of thing.

    Rob SnyderLenny's Podcast: Product | Career | Growth, 2026年10月25日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. Index company emails with AI tools to make organizational information available for use.

    If you're a company that allows your AI to index emails, if you look at Sana or you look at Copilot, or you could do this with Claude.

    Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月18日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

テック

テーマと業界

この分野が他のテーマ、職業、業界と交わるところ。

2026年 第44週 · 65人の発言を引用

テック

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