Current Zeitgeist
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業界 · 人工知能 · 2026年 第44週

AI

エージェント、バブル論争、雇用、信頼。いまAIについて語られていることと、世界をどこへ導くと考えられているか。

あらゆる場面にAI
3.1%
引用した人数
158

AI生成 問い、立場、つながりは、このページの引用と数字からAIモデルが名づけたものです。引用はすべて出典と一字一句照合し、数字は表示した調査からのみ取っています。 このページの作り方

AI

メディア

AI

意見

この分野で議論されている問いと、それぞれの立場を当事者の言葉で。

Should agents take on multi-step work, or should people retain control over consequential tasks?

Delegate longer workflows

Agents should move work forward continuously, handle multi-step tasks, and prompt people when they need input.

2026, however, does seem likely to become the year of AI agents. Artificial Intelligence will evolve from passive tools (chat UI that waits for a prompt) to active Agentic Systems (software that plans, executes, and iterates on tasks autonomously).

Jakob NielsenUsability researcher; author of UX Tigers; co-founder of Nielsen Norman GroupUX Tigers, 2026年1月13日問題を報告

The firm with AI tools requires their users to prompt the agents to produce work or to do work. But here, like I said at arca, agents prompt people more than people prompt agents.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Keep consequential controls

Agents can analyze and prepare work, but deterministic safeguards and human review should retain control over consequential actions and changes.

The analysis part is fully automated, but they're unable to actually execute any sort of money movement or liquidation automatically. We have a very deep integration with our custodian that actually gives us APIs to be able to do that.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Yeah, so all of our safety restrictions are fully deterministic and they take the decision making off the agent's hands.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに2件の引用

Will AI expand workers’ capacity, or reduce jobs and expose skills?

Expand individual capacity

AI can let one person handle more work, support employees, and extend services to people who otherwise lack access.

And it makes a lot of sense in a world of hyper superworkers, super powered employees fueled and empowered by AI.

Josh BersinFounder and CEO, The Josh Bersin Company; global industry analystThe Josh Bersin Company, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

And now one smart person can actually handle, like we talked about, 500 different cases of very different facts, very different situations. And how do you even keep that in your brain? Like, it's hard, right? But now you don't have to.

Jay MadheswaranThe a16z Show, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Jobs and skills at risk

AI may replace work and weaken skills, while concentrating the gains among a small number of people.

調査結果

US adultsWill AI lead to more jobs, fewer jobs, or not make much difference in the US over the next 20 years?
  1. Fewer jobs71%
  2. Will not make much difference10%
  3. More jobs5%
  4. Not sure14%
Pew Research Center, 2026-06 · 回答3,488件 · 出典

This is why I can simultaneously think that AI will disrupt 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs over 1–5 years, while also thinking we may have AI that is more capable than everyone in only 1–2 years.

Dario AmodeiCEO, AnthropicThe Adolescence of Technology (essay), 2026年1月問題を報告

I am worried about the corporate concentration of power. I am worried about a handful of people getting all of the money from this AI boom. I'm worried about the loss of jobs and the sort of outsourcing of thinking to these AI systems.

Kevin RooseMachine Gods, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Does AI make systems more secure, or give attackers a greater advantage?

AI strengthens defense

AI could help defenders write more secure software and build stronger systems, even as it changes security work.

And so I think it is possible, I think it may not be immediate, but over time we're going to perhaps use AI to help us write more secure software or build more secure systems.

Bruce DangOdd Lots, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

At Caliph, we think like, you know, we are enter the era of the central hackers. Basically the best hacker right now is a combination of AI and humans.

Thai DuongOdd Lots, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Attackers gain speed

AI accelerates vulnerability discovery and exploitation, and attackers can move faster than defenders.

What AI has done is it's kind of accelerated the speed in which you identify and exploit these vulnerabilities to a level where it's almost like superhuman.

Bruce DangOdd Lots, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

New technology, defenders move at much slower pace than attackers. But fundamentally we believe there are more good guys than bad guys out there.

Thai DuongOdd Lots, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

AI

感情

公表された調査が、分野の内外の人々に尋ねて数えた結果。

US adultsDoes the increased use of AI in daily life make you feel more concerned than excited, more excited than concerned, or equally both?
  1. More concerned than excited52%
  2. Equally concerned and excited37%
  3. More excited than concerned9%
Pew Research Center, 2026-06 · 回答3,488件 · 出典
US adults ages 18-29Does the increased use of AI in daily life make you feel more concerned than excited, more excited than concerned, or equally both?
  1. More concerned than excited55%
  2. More excited than concerned11%
Pew Research Center, 2026-06 · 出典
US adultsWill AI lead to more jobs, fewer jobs, or not make much difference in the US over the next 20 years?
  1. Fewer jobs71%
  2. Will not make much difference10%
  3. More jobs5%
  4. Not sure14%
Pew Research Center, 2026-06 · 回答3,488件 · 出典
US adults ages 18-29Think AI will lead to fewer jobs in the US over the next 20 years
  1. Fewer jobs73%
Pew Research Center, 2026-06 · 出典
US adultsIs AI advancing too quickly, too slowly, or at about the right pace?
  1. Too quickly63%
  2. At about the right pace19%
  3. Not sure16%
  4. Too slowly2%
Pew Research Center, 2026-02 · 回答5,119件 · 出典
Adults in 37 countries (median across countries)Does the increased use of AI in daily life make you feel more concerned than excited, more excited than concerned, or equally both?
  1. More concerned than excited (median)37%
  2. Equally concerned and excited (median)41%
Pew Research Center, 2026 · 出典
US adults (Gallup Panel)Use AI sometimes, often or always at work, at school or in their personal lives
  1. Use AI at least sometimes51%
Gallup and the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP), 2026-06 · 回答3,152件 · 出典
US adults (Gallup Panel)How much do you trust or distrust AI's capability to make fair and unbiased decisions?
  1. Fully or somewhat trust28%
  2. Fully or somewhat distrust65%
Gallup and the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP), 2026-06 · 回答3,152件 · 出典
AI experts living in the US (authors and presenters at 21 AI conferences, 2023-24)Will AI have a positive or negative impact on the US over the next 20 years?
  1. Very or somewhat positive56%
Pew Research Center, 2024-10 · 回答1,013件 · 出典
US adultsWill AI have a positive or negative impact on the US over the next 20 years?
  1. Very or somewhat positive17%
Pew Research Center, 2024-08 · 回答5,410件 · 出典
AI experts living in the US (authors and presenters at 21 AI conferences, 2023-24)Does the increased use of AI in daily life make you feel more excited than concerned, more concerned than excited, or equally both?
  1. More excited than concerned47%
  2. More concerned than excited15%
Pew Research Center, 2024-10 · 回答1,013件 · 出典
US adultsDoes the increased use of AI in daily life make you feel more excited than concerned, more concerned than excited, or equally both?
  1. More excited than concerned11%
  2. More concerned than excited51%
Pew Research Center, 2024-08 · 回答5,410件 · 出典
AI experts living in the US (authors and presenters at 21 AI conferences, 2023-24)Will AI have a positive or negative impact on how people do their jobs over the next 20 years?
  1. Very or somewhat positive73%
Pew Research Center, 2024-10 · 回答1,013件 · 出典
US adultsWill AI have a positive or negative impact on how people do their jobs over the next 20 years?
  1. Very or somewhat positive23%
Pew Research Center, 2024-08 · 回答5,410件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)Do you currently use AI tools or AI agents in your role at work?
  1. AI coding assistants or coding agents65.9%
  2. General-purpose AI chat tools62.5%
  3. AI agents or automated workflows26.2%
  4. Internal AI tools built by my company17.8%
  5. I don't use AI tools17.2%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答17,464件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How much do you trust the output from AI tools or AI agents as part of your workflow?
  1. I trust it when I can easily verify the output48%
  2. I trust it for many tasks, but not important work decisions16.3%
  3. I trust it for low-risk work tasks only16.3%
  4. I do not trust it for most work tasks12.3%
  5. I trust it for many tasks, including important work decisions6.6%
  6. Not sure / I do not use AI tools0.5%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答14,304件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How would you describe your attitude toward using AI tools or agents as part of your work?
  1. Very favorable31.6%
  2. Somewhat favorable30.4%
  3. Neutral15.3%
  4. Somewhat unfavorable14.6%
  5. Very unfavorable6.9%
  6. Not sure1.2%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答14,428件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)Reasons for avoiding AI at work or school
  1. I do not avoid using AI at work or school41.3%
  2. Concern over losing job skills or training an AI to replace you17.1%
  3. Moral or ethical concerns15.2%
  4. Issues with privacy or security13%
  5. Environmental concerns8.2%
  6. Other2.7%
  7. Difficulty or lack of training2.6%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答13,857件 · 出典
Digital designers who use generative AI toolsThe AI tools I use help me create better designs
  1. Agree or strongly agree91%
Figma (survey by NewtonX), 2025-10 · 出典
Digital designers in North America, APAC, Europe, LATAM and the Middle EastUse generative AI tools
  1. Use generative AI tools72%
Figma (survey by NewtonX), 2025-10 · 回答906件 · 出典
US ad industry executives (companies with $1M+ annual media spend)Their company has deployed AI in the creative process
  1. Have deployed AI in creative83%
IAB with Sonata Insights, 2026-01 · 回答104件 · 出典
B2B and B2C marketers worldwideMarketing team uses AI in at least a few marketing areas
  1. Use AI86.4%
Marketing leaders at for-profit US companiesCompany uses AI for Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) to get content to appear in AI-generated search results
  1. Use AI for GEO41.5%
The CMO Survey (Duke Fuqua, Deloitte, American Marketing Association), 2026-01 · 回答308件 · 出典
US employees (Gallup Panel)How often do you use AI in your role at work?
  1. Daily15%
  2. A few times a week or more30%
  3. A few times a year or more52%
US employeesHow likely is it that your job will be eliminated in the next five years because of technological innovations such as automation or AI?
  1. Very or somewhat likely: all US employees18%
  2. Very or somewhat likely: employees where AI has been implemented23%
Full-time knowledge workers who use AI at work, in 10 countriesShare who are Frontier Professionals (use agents for multi-step work, routinely redesign workflows, take part in shared AI practices)
  1. Frontier Professionals16%
Microsoft Work Trend Index (survey by Edelman Data x Intelligence), 2026-04 · 回答20,000件 · 出典
US workers (employed adults, part time or full time)How do you feel about the future use of AI in the workplace?
  1. Worried52%
  2. Hopeful36%
  3. Overwhelmed33%
Pew Research Center, 2024-10 · 回答5,273件 · 出典
US physiciansWhich, if any, of these AI use cases do you currently incorporate into your practice?
  1. Use at least one AI use case72%
  2. Unsure about available AI tools9%
  3. No reported AI use19%
American Medical Association, 2026-02 · 回答1,342件 · 出典
US physiciansOverall, would you say the potential increased use of AI in your professional life makes you feel more excited than concerned, more concerned than excited, or equally both?
  1. More excited than concerned37%
  2. Equally excited and concerned40%
American Medical Association, 2026-02 · 出典
US physiciansHow concerned are you that the use of AI tools will lead to loss of skills?
  1. Very, somewhat or mildly concerned about skill loss88%
  2. Very or somewhat concerned about skill loss in current medical students and residents70%
American Medical Association, 2026-02 · 回答1,163件 · 出典
Game industry professionalsIs generative AI having a positive or negative impact on the game industry?
  1. Negative impact52%
  2. Positive impact7%
GDC (Game Developers Conference), 2026 · 出典
Game industry professionalsUse generative AI tools as part of their job
  1. All respondents36%
  2. At game studios30%
  3. At publishers, support teams and marketing/PR firms58%
GDC (Game Developers Conference), 2026 · 出典
Full-time UK undergraduatesUse generative AI to help with assessed work
  1. Use generative AI for assessed work94%
HEPI and Kortext (survey by Savanta), 2025-12 · 回答1,054件 · 出典
Full-time UK undergraduatesInclude AI-generated text directly in assessed work
  1. Include AI-generated text directly12%
HEPI and Kortext (survey by Savanta), 2025-12 · 回答1,054件 · 出典
Online news users in 48 markets (average across markets)Sources used to get news
  1. Social media and video networks54%
  2. News organisations' own websites and apps51%
  3. AI chatbots10%
Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism (survey by YouGov), 2026-02 · 出典
US registered votersFavour stricter rules or limits on data-centre construction
  1. Favour stricter rules or limits71%
Morning Consult for Americans for Responsible Innovation, 2026-07 · 出典
US registered votersFavour a moratorium halting all new data-centre construction
  1. Favour a moratorium23%
Morning Consult for Americans for Responsible Innovation, 2026-07 · 出典
US registered votersAlarmed about higher electricity bills and data-centre deals cut without public input
  1. Alarmed77%
Morning Consult for Americans for Responsible Innovation, 2026-07 · 出典
US parents of K-12 students (RAND survey panels)Greater use of AI will harm students' critical-thinking skills
  1. Agree61%
US school district leaders (RAND survey panels)Greater use of AI will harm students' critical-thinking skills
  1. Agree22%

パルス

パルス：読者の声

回答した読者の声で、代表的なサンプルではありません。

AI · Mastodon · Bluesky

みんなが共有していること

今週よく共有されたリンクと、この分野についての投稿の量(MastodonとBlueskyで集計)。

今週よく共有されたもの

  1. 1
    Google Will Turn Off Search for Schools That Reject A.I.

    The New York Times · 523アカウントが共有 · 2日間トレンド入り

  2. 2
  3. 3
    Sam Altman: All the RAM Should Belong to Me, So I Can Charge People to Use It

    Gizmodo · 332アカウントが共有 · 1日間トレンド入り

  4. 4
    Google Will Disable Search for Schools Banning AI

    Forbes · 323アカウントが共有 · 1日間トレンド入り

  5. 5
    Parents of woman who died of seizure after ChaGPT misguidance sue OpenAI

    The Guardian · 284アカウントが共有 · 2日間トレンド入り

Proでさらに8件

リンク:Mastodonサーバーでよく共有されたもの(AIモデルが分野ごとに分類)。投稿:Blueskyの無作為標本(AIモデルが分類)。

AI

方向性

Forecasts point toward agents taking on longer, more autonomous workflows, while several speakers expect humans to guide or supervise their work.

2026, however, does seem likely to become the year of AI agents. Artificial Intelligence will evolve from passive tools (chat UI that waits for a prompt) to active Agentic Systems (software that plans, executes, and iterates on tasks autonomously).

Jakob NielsenUsability researcher; author of UX Tigers; co-founder of Nielsen Norman GroupUX Tigers, 2026年1月13日問題を報告

In another 18 months I think every employee will be enabled by one or more agents,

Bob SternfelsGlobal managing partner, McKinsey & CompanyHBR IdeaCast, 2026年1月問題を報告

AI

目標とビジョン

予測とビジョン。いつ語られ、いつ検証できるか。

  1. 未確定

    And that is what the future looks like. It's truly moving the case forward continuously and you're helping making it do a better job than it could do by itself. That is I think the future of law.

    Jay MadheswaranThe a16z Show, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

  2. 未確定increasingly

    And so we have this world, which I think is one that we're going to be in increasingly, where humans are oftentimes almost becoming rappers on AI agents and AI systems, where all we're doing is seeing the faces and typing the thought.

    Jasmine SunHard Fork, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

  3. 未確定1–2 years2028年1月31日に検証

    This feedback loop is gathering steam month by month, and may be only 1–2 years away from a point where the current generation of AI autonomously builds the next.

    Dario AmodeiCEO, AnthropicThe Adolescence of Technology (essay), 2026年1月問題を報告

Proの予測トラッカーにさらに177件

AI

誤解

よく言われることと、情報源が示すこと。

よく言われること

Agents are expected to operate without human oversight.

情報源が示すこと

Some forecasts anticipate autonomous workflows, but practitioners describe human review, fixed safety rules, and limits on what agents can execute.

2026, however, does seem likely to become the year of AI agents. Artificial Intelligence will evolve from passive tools (chat UI that waits for a prompt) to active Agentic Systems (software that plans, executes, and iterates on tasks autonomously).

Jakob NielsenUsability researcher; author of UX Tigers; co-founder of Nielsen Norman GroupUX Tigers, 2026年1月13日問題を報告

AI

先を行く人たち

先を行く実務家が今していると語ること。

  1. Keep money movement outside agent control, and use deterministic rules to constrain decisions.

    The analysis part is fully automated, but they're unable to actually execute any sort of money movement or liquidation automatically. We have a very deep integration with our custodian that actually gives us APIs to be able to do that.

    Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

  2. Record agent actions in change logs and require a human engineer to review prompt changes before release.

    And so our system is such that auditability is by default. Every single action that an agent takes produces a change log of what changed, who changed it from which part of the system, and when.

    Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

  3. Build APIs for agents to use, and design services around agents prompting people as well as people prompting agents.

    So in that world, what agents want is APIs. We actually just ran a make something agents want hackathon.

    Nemil DalalUnchained, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

AI

テーマと業界

この分野が他のテーマ、職業、業界と交わるところ。

分野をまたぐ話題

  • エージェント人の代わりに動くAI。閲覧、購入、コーディング、予約を本人に代わって行う。
  • AIスロップと人の手仕事手抜きのAI生成物、それへの反発、そして「人の手による」ことの売り文句化。
  • 新卒・入門職の縮小AIがジュニアの仕事をこなす分野で、最初の仕事が減っている。
  • リーダーと一般の人々リーダーが受け手を、受け手自身よりも好意的に見ているところ。
  • 本当に新しいのか古い考えの新しい呼び名と、本当に変わったこと。

テックソフトウェア開発UIマーケティング人事・労務キャリア

今週のニュース

テーマ

あらゆる場面にAI

職業

データ・AIソフトウェア開発

業界

AI

2026年 第44週 · 158人の発言を引用

AI

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