How quickly can autonomous vehicles move into commercial operation?
Near-term expansion
Autonomous services and trucking are nearing commercial operation, with vehicle volumes and markets set to grow.
Fully commercial operations before New Year's Eve is what I'll put out there as a marker. That's where I think they're going.
I'm going on the record, I'm saying by Q1, Waymo launches commercial driver out service with their own APS permit in the uk, but he who holds the permit holds the keys.
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Uneven, uncertain rollout
Commercial scale will take time, and pace, permits, and local uncertainty can limit planned deployments.
At its current pace, they're not going to meet 20,000 vehicles. So that pace has to get even faster. Otherwise, you know, we would estimate them maybe hitting 14,000 vehicles or so.
It's gonna be a while to that service gets to meaningful scale in either market.
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