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分野 · テック · 2026年 第44週

ソフトウェア開発

コーディングエージェント、バイブコーディング、信頼、ジュニア職の縮小。ソフトウェア開発の変化と、トップエンジニアの実践。

巨大テックとプラットフォーム
1.2%
あらゆる場面にAI
3.1%
雇用と仕事の未来
0.3%
引用した人数
70

AI生成 問い、立場、つながりは、このページの引用と数字からAIモデルが名づけたものです。引用はすべて出典と一字一句照合し、数字は表示した調査からのみ取っています。 このページの作り方

ソフトウェア開発

メディア

ソフトウェア開発

意見

この分野で議論されている問いと、それぞれの立場を当事者の言葉で。

How much software work should be delegated to AI agents?

Delegate implementation

Agents can take on implementation and routine engineering work, leaving engineers to focus on broader product and design choices.

And so if you don't actually have your applications rewritten to be able to be updated by agents, you're going to have no chance in that new world.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

I think the engineers will start having to be more involved with product and design thinking as well, because it's going to get to a point where the models are good enough that it's not going to be breaking things.

Kyle BarberDive Club, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに2件の引用

Engineers steer decisions

Engineering judgment still matters because agents are not especially good at making technical trade-offs.

I think software engineering will still be an enormous career. I just think the software engineers won’t be spending multiple hours of their day in a text editor typing out syntax.

Simon WillisonCreator of Datasette; independent open source developerOxide and Friends, 2026年1月6日問題を報告

But I do think decision making has always been where staff and principal engineers have to make the impact and that hasn't changed at all. I don't actually think agents are exceptionally good at making these trade offs.

Will LarsonThe Pragmatic Engineer, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Who can build useful software with AI tools?

More people can build

When implementation becomes easier, creative builders can turn niche needs and ideas into software.

There are millions of micro behaviors. Every niche, profession, hobby has specific behaviors and problems and workflows that can be turned into software.

Kieran FlanaganWriter, The AI Marketing Generalist; co-host, Marketing Against the Grain; former marketing leader at HubSpotMarketing Against The Grain, 2026年10月22日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Like, yeah, if you can use the tools, all you need to do is be creative. This opportunity is probably even bigger because, right. Any idea you have, you can make, you can manifest.

Ben HorowitzThe a16z Show, 2026年10月10日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに2件の引用

Expertise still matters

Faster implementation does not remove the need for experienced engineers to make decisions and address difficult technical problems.

I think software engineering will still be an enormous career. I just think the software engineers won’t be spending multiple hours of their day in a text editor typing out syntax.

Simon WillisonCreator of Datasette; independent open source developerOxide and Friends, 2026年1月6日問題を報告

But I do think decision making has always been where staff and principal engineers have to make the impact and that hasn't changed at all. I don't actually think agents are exceptionally good at making these trade offs.

Will LarsonThe Pragmatic Engineer, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

What safeguards and human checks should agent-built software require?

Verify and monitor

Keep human review in the release path and record agent actions so changes can be checked and traced.

And so our system is such that auditability is by default. Every single action that an agent takes produces a change log of what changed, who changed it from which part of the system, and when.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Today we still have a human, like a human engineer in the loop before we actually ship a prompt change. I've noticed that agents will make really nasty prompt changes if you leave them to it.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Build safeguards into systems

Design systems so agents have bounded access and cannot carry out high-impact actions on their own.

The analysis part is fully automated, but they're unable to actually execute any sort of money movement or liquidation automatically. We have a very deep integration with our custodian that actually gives us APIs to be able to do that.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

And that's one of the things actually that that is part of the value prop with something like Claude managed agent, which is like still programmatic access to Claude in an API, but you get a harness out of the box.

Katelyn LesseLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月27日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

ソフトウェア開発

感情

公表された調査が、分野の内外の人々に尋ねて数えた結果。

Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)Do you currently use AI tools or AI agents in your role at work?
  1. AI coding assistants or coding agents65.9%
  2. General-purpose AI chat tools62.5%
  3. AI agents or automated workflows26.2%
  4. Internal AI tools built by my company17.8%
  5. I don't use AI tools17.2%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答17,464件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How much do you trust the output from AI tools or AI agents as part of your workflow?
  1. I trust it when I can easily verify the output48%
  2. I trust it for many tasks, but not important work decisions16.3%
  3. I trust it for low-risk work tasks only16.3%
  4. I do not trust it for most work tasks12.3%
  5. I trust it for many tasks, including important work decisions6.6%
  6. Not sure / I do not use AI tools0.5%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答14,304件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How would you describe your attitude toward using AI tools or agents as part of your work?
  1. Very favorable31.6%
  2. Somewhat favorable30.4%
  3. Neutral15.3%
  4. Somewhat unfavorable14.6%
  5. Very unfavorable6.9%
  6. Not sure1.2%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答14,428件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)Reasons for avoiding AI at work or school
  1. I do not avoid using AI at work or school41.3%
  2. Concern over losing job skills or training an AI to replace you17.1%
  3. Moral or ethical concerns15.2%
  4. Issues with privacy or security13%
  5. Environmental concerns8.2%
  6. Other2.7%
  7. Difficulty or lack of training2.6%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答13,857件 · 出典
Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How satisfied are you in your current professional role?
  1. Happy at work22.2%
  2. Complacent at work45.1%
  3. Not happy at work32.6%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答18,876件 · 出典
Software engineers and engineering leaders who read The Pragmatic EngineerRegularly use AI agents
  1. All respondents55%
  2. Staff+ engineers63.5%
  3. Directors and VPs51.9%
  4. Engineers49.7%
  5. Engineering managers46.1%
The Pragmatic Engineer (Gergely Orosz), 2026-02 · 出典
Designers, developers and product managers in 10 markets (survey of Figma users, weighted to Figma's paid user base)Do work outside their own discipline
  1. Designers taking part in development41%
  2. Developers doing design work60%

パルス

パルス:読者の声

回答した読者の声で、代表的なサンプルではありません。

ソフトウェア開発 · Mastodon · Bluesky

みんなが共有していること

今週よく共有されたリンクと、この分野についての投稿の量(MastodonとBlueskyで集計)。

リンク:Mastodonサーバーでよく共有されたもの(AIモデルが分野ごとに分類)。投稿:Blueskyの無作為標本(AIモデルが分類)。

ソフトウェア開発

方向性

Software work is moving toward agents that can implement and operate systems, while engineers shift toward product choices, trade-offs and oversight.

And so if you don't actually have your applications rewritten to be able to be updated by agents, you're going to have no chance in that new world.

Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

I think the engineers will start having to be more involved with product and design thinking as well, because it's going to get to a point where the models are good enough that it's not going to be breaking things.

Kyle BarberDive Club, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

ソフトウェア開発

目標とビジョン

予測とビジョン。いつ語られ、いつ検証できるか。

  1. 未確定in that new world

    And so if you don't actually have your applications rewritten to be able to be updated by agents, you're going to have no chance in that new world.

    Andy JassyPresident and CEO, AmazonThe a16z Show, 2026年10月23日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  2. 未確定over time

    And so I think it is possible, I think it may not be immediate, but over time we're going to perhaps use AI to help us write more secure software or build more secure systems.

    Bruce DangOdd Lots, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. 未確定soon

    It could be almost real time soon. Like, software will be almost real time where it's building the software for you as you're navigating through it.

    Austin GriffithUnchained, 2026年10月15日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proの予測トラッカーにさらに31件

ソフトウェア開発

誤解

よく言われることと、情報源が示すこと。

よく言われること

AI coding means agents can be trusted with important work.

情報源が示すこと

The survey found trust most often depended on being able to verify output; trust for important work decisions was less common.

Developers and technologists who answered the Stack Overflow Developer Survey (169 countries)How much do you trust the output from AI tools or AI agents as part of your workflow?
  1. I trust it when I can easily verify the output48%
  2. I trust it for many tasks, but not important work decisions16.3%
  3. I trust it for low-risk work tasks only16.3%
  4. I do not trust it for most work tasks12.3%
  5. I trust it for many tasks, including important work decisions6.6%
  6. Not sure / I do not use AI tools0.5%
Stack Overflow, 2026-08 · 回答14,304件 · 出典

よく言われること

AI agents make human review unnecessary.

情報源が示すこと

Practitioners describe audit logs, restricted actions and engineer review before prompt changes as parts of their agent workflows.

The analysis part is fully automated, but they're unable to actually execute any sort of money movement or liquidation automatically. We have a very deep integration with our custodian that actually gives us APIs to be able to do that.

Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

ソフトウェア開発

先を行く人たち

先を行く実務家が今していると語ること。

  1. Keep consequential actions behind controlled interfaces, while letting agents analyze and recommend.

    The analysis part is fully automated, but they're unable to actually execute any sort of money movement or liquidation automatically. We have a very deep integration with our custodian that actually gives us APIs to be able to do that.

    Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  2. Make each agent action auditable with a record of what changed, who initiated it and when.

    And so our system is such that auditability is by default. Every single action that an agent takes produces a change log of what changed, who changed it from which part of the system, and when.

    Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. Require an engineer to review prompt changes before they are released.

    Today we still have a human, like a human engineer in the loop before we actually ship a prompt change. I've noticed that agents will make really nasty prompt changes if you leave them to it.

    Aman SinghLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月31日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  4. Use AI to generate auditable recipes for large-scale code rewrites.

    Turns out AI tools are really, really good at generating open rewrite recipes, which is way cheaper on token consumption and way more accurate and much faster. And like auditable.

    Titus WintersThe Pragmatic Engineer, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  5. Keep engineering context in the repository so agents and tools can work from it.

    And it's never in someone's head, it's always in the repo. So that just gives our agents and our tools, these superpowers, to have all the context that I think a lot of engineering teams still just have in conversations or have in their heads.

    CJ HessLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

ソフトウェア開発

テーマと業界

この分野が他のテーマ、職業、業界と交わるところ。

2026年 第44週 · 70人の発言を引用

ソフトウェア開発

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