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業界 · 2026年 第44週

不動産・建設

この業界で何が議論され、どこへ向かうと言われ、先を行く人たちが何をしているか。

住宅難
0.2%
引用した人数
14

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不動産・建設

メディア

不動産・建設

意見

この分野で議論されている問いと、それぞれの立場を当事者の言葉で。

Will housing activity recover, or will high mortgage rates keep the market subdued?

Recovery if conditions ease

Activity could regain momentum if the energy shock fades, confidence returns and market rates fall.

And so I think at some point there is like the rates come down and meet that leveling off of all those prices converging. And my hope is that it's going to be early next year.

Kevin PeranioHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月15日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

This suggests that activity should regain momentum in the quarters ahead providing the energy shock fades and confidence returns - especially if market interest rates fall back to pre-conflict levels.

Robert GardnerChief economist, Nationwide Building SocietyNationwide House Price Index, September 2026, 2026年10月問題を報告

Rates limit movement

Elevated or rapidly rising rates can restrain demand and leave sales and construction subdued.

One concern is that because rates are still elevated and you know, we're not building a lot of apartments or rental units that eventually rent inflation will take off again.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

When rates get above 7%, especially when they move up fast, housing demand slows down noticeably.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Are house prices becoming more affordable, or is access still worsening for buyers?

Affordability improving

A softer market can shift the balance toward buyers, while prices rising no faster than wages would be less concerning.

But all of this makes this a better buyer versus seller equilibrium.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

So now if home prices were rising faster than wages, that would be a concern for me.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月9日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Entry remains difficult

Home prices are the central problem, and access to housing remains difficult when construction stays at low levels.

And I'm of the thought that homes in the United States cost too much money.

Wade JurneyHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

I think that the home price is the problem, prices are the problem.

Wade JurneyHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Can housing construction and supply improve soon?

Construction stays constrained

Low housing construction is unlikely to improve soon, especially while sales are weak and rates remain elevated.

Construction is multi year lows in housing construction, that's not going to get any better any soon.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月14日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

We've had a downtrend in housing construction for years now. Now rates spiked up again.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proでさらに1件の引用

Supply varies by region

Development conditions differ by location; new pipelines are easier to develop in the South than in the Northeast.

And so I would say in general in the south, we see that it is easier to develop, develop new pipelines than it is in the Northeast.

Eric McGuireCatalyst with Shayle Kann, 2026年10月15日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

不動産・建設

感情

公表された調査が、分野の内外の人々に尋ねて数えた結果。


パルス

パルス:読者の声

回答した読者の声で、代表的なサンプルではありません。

不動産・建設

方向性

Housing activity may regain momentum if energy pressures ease and interest rates fall, while elevated rates and weak construction remain constraints.

This suggests that activity should regain momentum in the quarters ahead providing the energy shock fades and confidence returns - especially if market interest rates fall back to pre-conflict levels.

Robert GardnerChief economist, Nationwide Building SocietyNationwide House Price Index, September 2026, 2026年10月問題を報告

One concern is that because rates are still elevated and you know, we're not building a lot of apartments or rental units that eventually rent inflation will take off again.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

不動産・建設

目標とビジョン

予測とビジョン。いつ語られ、いつ検証できるか。

  1. 未確定in the quarters ahead2027年6月30日に検証

    This suggests that activity should regain momentum in the quarters ahead providing the energy shock fades and confidence returns - especially if market interest rates fall back to pre-conflict levels.

    Robert GardnerChief economist, Nationwide Building SocietyNationwide House Price Index, September 2026, 2026年10月問題を報告
  2. 未確定early next year2027年4月17日に検証

    And so I think at some point there is like the rates come down and meet that leveling off of all those prices converging. And my hope is that it's going to be early next year.

    Kevin PeranioHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月15日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. 未確定

    One concern is that because rates are still elevated and you know, we're not building a lot of apartments or rental units that eventually rent inflation will take off again.

    Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月30日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

Proの予測トラッカーにさらに14件

不動産・建設

誤解

よく言われることと、情報源が示すこと。

よく言われること

Lower mortgage rates automatically bring more existing homes onto the market.

情報源が示すこと

One view argues lower rates do not necessarily increase active inventory; higher rates can bring more listings instead.

Higher rates do create more inventory. Right. And you could see it here on the active inventory side, but just, you know, if people were thinking about big escalation, it's the closer you get to normal, the harder it is.

Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月27日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

不動産・建設

先を行く人たち

先を行く実務家が今していると語ること。

  1. Prepare project blueprints in advance so construction can start when a new federal initiative is announced.

    Cities that receive the most money are the ones that have finalized their blueprints and can start breaking ground as soon as a new federal initiative is announced.

    Dwarkesh PatelHost, Dwarkesh PodcastDwarkesh Podcast, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  2. Build support for development by organizing a concentrated YIMBY faction.

    Moses built a concentrated faction for Yimby. Yes, in my backyard.

    Dwarkesh PatelHost, Dwarkesh PodcastDwarkesh Podcast, 2026年10月29日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  3. Track demand, inventory and prices with a live weekly model.

    This is why you have to have a live tracking model to track everything weekly, weekly demand, inventory, price, percentages, everything.

    Logan MohtashamiHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月20日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告
  4. Standardize the core home and build on scattered individual lots to compete on price.

    We don't offer options or color selections, and we really build the same core home in every one of our markets.

    Wade JurneyHousingWire Daily, 2026年10月21日 · 自動文字起こしより問題を報告

不動産・建設

テーマと業界

この分野が他のテーマ、職業、業界と交わるところ。

2026年 第44週 · 14人の発言を引用

不動産・建設

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